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Rapid responses are electronic comments to the editor. They enable our users to debate issues raised in articles published on bmj.com. A rapid response is first posted online. If you need the URL (web address) of an individual response, simply click on the response headline and copy the URL from the browser window. A proportion of responses will, after editing, be published online and in the print journal as letters, which are indexed in PubMed. Rapid responses are not indexed in PubMed and they are not journal articles. The BMJ reserves the right to remove responses which are being wilfully misrepresented as published articles or when it is brought to our attention that a response spreads misinformation.

From March 2022, the word limit for rapid responses will be 600 words not including references and author details. We will no longer post responses that exceed this limit.

The word limit for letters selected from posted responses remains 300 words.

Re: Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change Yifang Zhu, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2025-084352

Dear Editor

Yao et al make an essential point about combatting climate change: 'active participation is essential from stakeholders at all levels'.[1]

Today (29/03/25) I read two items about climate activism that brought home both the risks and the urgency of wide participation. In Britain, six young women holding a peaceful gathering at the Religious Society of Friends (the Quakers) were arrested after the Metropolitan police broke into the Westminster Meeting House.[2] In the USA, the environmental charity Greenpeace was successfully sued for $667M in relation to their support for the indigenous Standing Rock Sioux Tribe, who had dared to oppose an oil pipeline.[3]

Personally, I do not want to see our planet heat up to intolerable levels. But more than that, I do not want to see powerful interests try to intimidate active participation by peaceful, small, groups or larger charities, with the malign collaboration of local law enforcement. When Dr. John Snow faced a utility spreading cholera (the Broad Street pump outbreak of 1854) he became active: to remove the handle of that pump.

[1] Yao Y, Jerrett M, Zhu T, Kelly FJ, Zhu Y. Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change. BMJ 2025;388:e084352

[2] Quakers in Britain. 28 March 2025. Quakers condemn police raid on Westminster Meeting House.

[3] Donziger S. I was an independent observer in the Greenpeace trial. What I saw was shocking. Guardian 28 March 2025 (online access: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/mar/28/greenpeace-verdict... )

Competing interests: No competing interests

29 March 2025
Woody Caan
Retired professor of public health
FFPH FRSPH FAcSS
Duxford, Cambridgeshire
Re: Medical journals should use the term “public health and social measures” Azeem Majeed, Kamran Abbasi. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj.r409

Dear Editor,

I wholeheartedly support Majeed and Abbasi's timely call to replace "non-pharmaceutical interventions" (NPIs) with "public health and social measures" (PHSMs) (1). This shift in terminology is more than semantics; it is essential in recognising the intrinsic value and complexity of public health approaches. Language shapes perception, and the term NPI inherently positions PHSMs as secondary to pharmaceutical solutions, undermining public health's fundamental role in disease prevention and health promotion.

PHSMs are not adjuncts to medical care; they are foundational to effective health systems. The COVID-19 pandemic starkly illustrated this reality. Long before vaccines and antiviral treatments were available, PHSMs such as contact tracing, hand hygiene, and social distancing were the primary tools for pandemic mitigation (2). Dismissing them as NPIs suggests they are of lesser importance when they are often the first line of defence against emerging health threats.

Moreover, PHSMs extend beyond infectious disease control. The growing burden of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs)—cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and chronic respiratory illnesses—highlights the necessity of robust public health strategies. Addressing risk factors like tobacco use, unhealthy diets, and sedentary lifestyles requires comprehensive public health interventions, not just pharmaceutical treatments (3). By adopting the PHSM framework, we underscore the proactive, preventive nature of these strategies rather than relegating them to a secondary role.

This article rightly highlights the addressal of the ‘wider determinants of health’ (4). The biomedical model of disease, while crucial, often overlooks broader social and behavioural dimensions. Using the term PHSM encourages a holistic perspective, recognising the interplay between wider determinants and health outcomes (5).

Housing, employment, and healthcare access disparities significantly influence infection rates and mortality. Low-income communities face higher risks due to overcrowded living conditions and limited remote work options. PHSMs addressing these disparities—like targeted public health messaging, income support policies, and workplace protections—demonstrate the necessity of integrating social measures into health responses (6).

The re-framing of public health terminology must extend to medical education for training future doctors to appreciate the interspersion of clinical medicine and public health. Medical journals should not only adopt PHSMs as standard terminology but also promote research exploring their multifaceted nature.

Modern medical curricula must integrate public health perspectives to address the rising burden of NCDs and the increasing strain on health systems due to unfavourable doctor-patient ratios. As healthcare systems globally grapple with limited resources, prioritising prevention reduces disease prevalence and hospitalisations. Preventative services are underutilised despite their effectiveness in reducing the human and economic burden of chronic diseases (7). Public health’s complexity must be acknowledged and valued, ensuring doctors are equipped for systemic interventions that improve population health outcomes sustainably.

"Public health and social measures" reflects the value, complexity, and vital role of these interventions in protecting population health. Embracing this terminology is not just an academic exercise—it is a necessary shift ensuring public health is respected and integrated into medical education. Moving beyond outdated distinctions affirms that public health is not secondary to medicine; it is an essential component of it.

References
1. Majeed A, Abbasi K. Medical journals should use the term “public health and social measures”. BMJ. 2025;388:r409.
2. World Health Organization. Public health and social measures during health emergencies [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://www.who.int/initiatives/who-public-health-and-social-measures-in...
3. World Health Organization. Noncommunicable diseases [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://www.who.int/health-topics/noncommunicable-diseases#tab=tab_1
4. Public Health England. Health Profile for England 2018: Chapter 6 - Wider determinants of health [Internet]. London: UK Government; 2018 [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/health-profile-for-england-20...
5. World Health Organization. Public health and social measures: Concept and framework [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2022 [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/documents/epp/phsm/phsm-co...
6. World Health Organization. New evidence review of social protection, public health, and social measures during emergencies [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2024 Dec 12 [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://www.who.int/news/item/12-12-2024-new-evidence-review-of-social-p...
7. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Use of selected preventive health services among adults—United States, 2019 [Internet]. Atlanta: CDC; 2019 [cited 2025 Mar 28]. Available from: https://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2019/18_0625.htm

Competing interests: No competing interests

28 March 2025
Ankita Misra
Medical Doctor, Currently Pursuing Master of Public Health
Imperial College London
London
Re: In a healthcare system under increasing pressure, can a palliative care commission drive meaningful change? Irene J Higginson, Natalie Ramjeeawon. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj.r610

Dear Editor

Irene Higginson highlights the importance of timely, multiprofessional, skilled palliative care to improve patient outcomes for patients and their carers. She touches on the need to ensure that the workforce is appropriately trained to meet the needs of an increasingly complex patient population.

Poor workforce planning hinders access to and delivery of equitable palliative care services. Medical workforce data from 2024 demonstrates that few doctors in the early years of their careers have access to posts within palliative care services: across the UK, there are only 135 Foundation posts ,47 internal medicine posts and 261 GP posts (registrar and integrated training posts.) Relatively few doctors annually are therefore able to develop capability in delivery of holistic palliative care. Workforce surveys going back over 10 years also show that we are consistently not training enough specialty registrars to meet consultant demand, leading to unfilled posts, often in areas of greatest need. Data from the 2022 Royal College Physicians census also shows that consultant posts are not equitably distributed cross the UK, exacerbating inequalities (1). Currently there are significant bottle necks for early career doctors to access core and specialty training posts, despite rising population need and organisations reporting significant workforce gaps. There is a paucity of information available regarding the large nursing, social work and allied healthcare professional workforce in palliative care.

As outlined by Higginson, palliative care outcomes are best when timely and delivered by skilled multiprofessional teams. Any proposals from the commission and expert panel need to recognise the importance of a costed workforce plan, with enhanced access to training opportunities for all health and social care professionals.

Reference
1 https://www.rcpe.ac.uk/news/2022-consultant-census-report-published#:~:t....

Competing interests: Past chair of Palliative Medicine Specialty Advisory Committee

28 March 2025
Polly Edmonds
Doctor
Kings’s College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust
Denmark Hill, London SE5 9RS
Re: Effects of intensive blood pressure treatment on orthostatic hypertension: individual level meta-analysis Lewis A Lipsitz, Lawrence J Appel, Nigel S Beckett, Barry R Davis, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2024-080507

Dear Editor

We read with interest the individual participant data meta-analysis by Jones et al. (BMJ 2025;388:e080507) examining the effects of intensive blood pressure (BP) treatment on orthostatic hypertension. While the study provides valuable insights into a poorly understood clinical phenomenon, several methodological and conceptual limitations warrant discussion.

First, the merging of trials with fundamentally different designs-goal-directed BP trials and placebo-controlled trials introduces significant heterogeneity. The pathophysiological mechanisms and treatment effects in placebo-controlled trials (e.g., initiating therapy in untreated patients) differ markedly from goal-directed trials (e.g., intensifying therapy in partially treated patients). Pooling these may obscure critical distinctions, as evidenced by the moderate heterogeneity (I²=38%) and divergent effect sizes between trial types (OR 0.95 for goal trials vs. 0.87 for placebo trials). Prior work emphasizes that such heterogeneity undermines the validity of pooled estimates unless rigorously addressed through stratified analyses or meta-regression.¹

Second, the definition of orthostatic hypertension remains contentious. The study uses a ≥20/10 mmHg rise in systolic/diastolic BP upon standing, but recent consensus guidelines propose combining this threshold with standing systolic BP ≥140 mmHg to improve specificity.² Notably, only 1.9% of participants met the latter criterion at baseline, suggesting most cases identified by the authors represent transient BP fluctuations rather than sustained orthostatic hypertension. This discrepancy risks conflating physiological variability with pathological phenotypes, limiting clinical applicability.

Third, the analysis lacks long-term clinical outcome data. While the study reports reduced odds of orthostatic hypertension with intensive treatment, the clinical significance of this finding remains unclear. Orthostatic hypertension has been linked to cardiovascular events and mortality in observational studies,³ but whether treatment-mediated reductions in orthostatic hypertension translate to lower risks of these outcomes requires validation. Without such data, the implications for practice remain speculative.

Fourth, subgroup analyses-particularly the larger treatment effect in non-Black individuals and those without diabetes-raise concerns about residual confounding. These subgroups may differ systematically in comorbidities, medication adherence, or autonomic function, none of which were adequately adjusted for. Post hoc subgroup analyses in meta-analyses are prone to false-positive findings due to multiple testing, as highlighted by recent methodological critiques.⁴

Finally, the absence of patient-reported outcomes (e.g., dizziness, falls) represents a critical gap. Orthostatic hypertension is often asymptomatic, but its clinical relevance hinges on symptom burden and quality of life. Excluding these endpoints prevents a balanced assessment of treatment risks and benefits, contrary to evolving standards for patient-centered outcomes research.⁵

In conclusion, while this meta-analysis advances our understanding of orthostatic hypertension, future studies should adopt standardized definitions, prioritize clinical outcomes, and incorporate patient-reported measures.

References
1. Riley RD, Lambert PC, Abo-Zaid G. Meta-analysis of individual participant data: rationale, conduct, and reporting. BMJ 2010;340:c221.
2. Ricci F, Fedorowski A, Radico F, et al. Diagnostic criteria for orthostatic hypertension: A consensus statement. J Hypertens 2022;40(5):811-8.
3. Frewen J, Savva GM, Boyle G, et al. Orthostatic hypotension and orthostatic hypertension predict incident dementia among older adults: The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing. J Alzheimers Dis 2021;81(2):603-13.
4. Sun X, Briel M, Walter SD, et al. Credibility of claims of subgroup effects in randomised controlled trials: systematic review. BMJ 2010;340:c117.
5. Basch E, Deal AM, Dueck AC, et al. Overall survival results of a trial assessing patient-reported outcomes for symptom monitoring during routine cancer treatment. JAMA 2017;318(2):197-8.

Competing interests: No competing interests

28 March 2025
Wendong Hao
Doctor
Yulin Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University
Wenhua South Road, Yuyang District, Yulin City, Shaanxi Province,People's Republic of China
Re: Respiratory health: Follow guidelines to reduce repeat hospital visits, urge campaigners Gareth Iacobucci. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj.r545

Dear Editor

"Follow guidelines" is a hackneyed response and adds nothing to the solution of improving respiratory care.

Firstly, guidelines need to be comprehensive, which the NICE Asthma guideline is not, omitting, for example the importance of diseases which may mimic asthma or impair its control.[1]

Secondly, it needs to be achievable, which the NICE guideline is not, relegating airway reversibility or variability as an also -ran relying on eosinophilia or FeNO, the latter of which is simply not available in UK primary care. It does however recognise the value or Peak Expiratory Flow variability as a valuable tool. This current guideline is unlikely to improve diagnosis.

Thirdly, it needs to be realistic: the time necessary to properly assess and educate and involve patients in their supported self-management is simply not there.

Furthermore, evidence based medicine is not about following guidelines.[2]

Asthma guidelines such as those produced by GINA [3] are comprehensive but more importantly are a summation of the evidence, which a clinician should use to address the needs of the individual patient: precision or personalised medicine.

All clinicians caring for those with asthma need the knowledge and skills to identify and manage this complex condition, something which predicts improved outcomes, [4] but research reveals that some 50% of those in primary care have an urgent learning need.[5]

What is also needed are clear statements as to when patients should be referred from primary care for a specialist assessment as currently many with that established need are not referred.[6] There are many obstacles to be navigated.[7] What is clear is that " ....that multiple primary care interventions offer greater benefit than any single intervention in asthma management.[8] A more nuanced strategy than the admonition to "follow or adhere to guidelines." is sorely needed.

1 https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng245
2 Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't. BMJ 1996; 312 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.312.7023.71.
3 https://ginasthma.org/2024-report/
4 Haahtela T, Tuomisto LE, Pietinalho A, Klaukka T, Erhola M, Kaila M, Nieminen MM, Kontula E, Laitinen LA. A 10 year asthma programme in Finland: major change for the better. Thorax. 2006 Aug 1;61(8):663-70.
5 Ryan D, Angier E, Gomez M, Church D, Batsiou M, Nekam K, Lomidze N, Gawlik R. Results of an allergy educational needs questionnaire for primary care. Allergy. 2017 Jul;72(7):1123-8.
6 Ryan D, Heatley H, Heaney LG, Jackson DJ, Pfeffer PE, Busby J, Menzies-Gow AN, Jones R, Tran TN, Al-Ahmad M, Backer V. Potential severe asthma hidden in UK primary care. The Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology: In Practice. 2021 Apr 1;9(4):1612-23.
7 Blakey JD, Gayle A, Slater MG, Jones GH, Baldwin M. Observational cohort study to investigate the unmet need and time waiting for referral for specialist opinion in adult asthma in England (UNTWIST asthma). BMJ open. 2019 Nov 1;9(11):e031740.
8 Fletcher MJ, Tsiligianni I, Kocks JW, Cave A, Chunhua C, Sousa JC, Román-Rodríguez M, Thomas M, Kardos P, Stonham C, Khoo EM. Improving primary care management of asthma: do we know what really works?. NPJ primary care respiratory medicine. 2020 Jun 17;30(1):29.

Competing interests: Director, IPCRG

28 March 2025
Dermot Ryan
GP Retd
Kegworth
Re: In a healthcare system under increasing pressure, can a palliative care commission drive meaningful change? Irene J Higginson, Natalie Ramjeeawon. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj.r610

Dear Editor
The thoughtful opinion piece by Higginson et al rightly underscores the urgent need to address inequality in access to hospice and end-of-life care. Central to this effort must be a deliberate focus on those living at the margins—people who are often most excluded from current systems of care, including individuals experiencing homelessness, ethnically diverse groups (those who are not White British), people with disabilities, and those living in socioeconomic deprivation.

Persistent structural inequities mean that these populations face significant barriers—ranging from cultural and institutional to logistical and financial—that limit their access to compassionate, timely, and appropriate end-of-life care. These are not peripheral issues; they are central challenges that reflect the broader failures of our healthcare systems to provide universal, dignified care at life’s end.

Critically, any work done to improve hospice and palliative services that does not focus on those at the margins risks deepening inequality.1 Without intentional focus, efforts to improve services may disproportionately benefit those who already have the best access and outcomes—leaving behind those who are already getting the least and the worst.

Crucially, by prioritising the needs of those at the margins, we can develop innovative, inclusive, and scalable solutions that ultimately improve care for everyone. The most effective, sustainable models of hospice and palliative care will be those built with the most vulnerable in mind—not as an afterthought, but as the starting point. When care systems are designed to work for people with the greatest needs, they inherently become more flexible, responsive, and equitable for all.

Any work to reform hospice and palliative care must therefore place the lived realities of marginalised communities at the forefront.

1. Bajwah S et al. Equal but inequitable: response of specialist palliative care and hospice services to people from ethnic minority groups with COVID-19-an observational study (CovPall). BMJ Supportive & Palliative Care 2021

Competing interests: Sabrina Bajwah is part of the Health and Social Care Committee Independent Expert Panel currently undertaking an evaluation into the state of palliative care in England

28 March 2025
Sabrina Bajwah
Clinical Reader & Palliative Medicine Consultant
King's College London
Cicely Saunders Institute
Re: Equitable energy transitions for a healthy future: combating air pollution and climate change Yifang Zhu, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2025-084352

Dear Editor

The article “Equitable Energy Transitions for a Healthy Future: Combating Air Pollution and Climate Change” offers a thorough and well-documented analysis of the public health, environmental, and social benefits of equitable energy transitions. However, when the article refers to the economic dimension, it is essential to complement the discussion with a rigorous and comparative assessment of the expected economic outcomes under the two dominant scenarios: continued reliance on fossil fuels versus a progressive phase-out of fossil-based energy systems.

In this regard, a recent joint report by the OECD and UNDP provides critical data that should be integrated into this conversation (1). According to the report, investing in an ambitious climate transition is not a net cost to the global economy but a path toward sustainable growth. A decisive reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, supported by robust policy frameworks, is projected to generate a net global GDP gain of 0.23% by 2040. In stark contrast, inaction on the climate crisis could result in a loss of up to one-third of global GDP by the end of the century—a scenario tantamount to systemic economic collapse.

These figures, when viewed alongside the health and environmental harms described in the BMJ article, strongly suggest that continuing along the fossil fuel pathway not only exacerbates health inequities and ecological degradation but also sets the global economy on a trajectory of progressive decline. Conversely, an equitable and well-managed phase-out of fossil fuels offers a dual dividend: improved health outcomes and sustained economic prosperity.

Therefore, I encourage the authors and the broader medical and scientific community to consider the economic evidence emerging from interdisciplinary climate research. Integrating recent macroeconomic projections into future health-oriented analyses of the energy transition will help ensure that policy recommendations are not only medically sound and environmentally just, but also economically rational and politically feasible.

Only through such a comprehensive, cross-sectoral approach can we design and support equitable and resilient policies in the face of today’s converging global crises.

Reference:

1. Harvey, F. Tackling climate crisis will increase economic growth, OECD research finds. The Guardian, 2025, March 26.

Competing interests: No competing interests

27 March 2025
Giovanni Ghirga
Paediatrician
Scientific Committee Member of ISDE Italy (International Society of Doctors for the Environment), Basel, Switzerland.
Civitavecchia, Rome, Italy
Re: Sonolysis during carotid endarterectomy: randomised controlled trial Jiří Fiedler, Mattia Branca, Jean-Benoit Rossel, David Netuka, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2024-082750

Dear Editor

The Sonolysis in Prevention of Brain Infarctions During Internal Carotid Endarterectomy (SONOBIRDIE) trial is a well-conducted, multicentre, randomised controlled study evaluating the efficacy and safety of sonolysis, a low-intensity pulsed wave ultrasound technique in carotid endarterectomy (CEA). The trial investigates a neurovascular protection strategy aimed at reducing perioperative cerebral events. The primary endpoint was a composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack (TIA), and death within 30 days, while secondary outcomes included the appearance of new ischaemic lesions on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and the key safety endpoint was the incidence of intracranial bleeding.

The trial is methodologically strong, with a sham-controlled design, appropriate blinding (except for the sonographer), adequate statistical power, and clinically meaningful imaging and composite outcomes. The observed absolute risk reduction of 5.5% in the composite outcome (P < 0.001) is notable and suggests that sonolysis may offer significant benefit in improving perioperative outcomes following CEA.

However, several important limitations should be acknowledged. First, although blinding was maintained across most of the trial team, the sonographers were unblinded, which, while practically unavoidable, introduces the potential for bias. Second, the trial employed a variety of commercially available transcranial Doppler ultrasound machines without a unified protocol for sonolysis delivery across centres. This lack of standardisation may have introduced variability in insonation parameters, operator technique, and therapeutic dose delivery, potentially affecting reproducibility and limiting the translation of these findings into routine practice. Standardised, purpose-designed sonolysis devices would be beneficial in future studies.

In addition, given the study’s five-year duration, the natural evolution of surgical and ultrasound technique over time, along with increasing operator experience, may have contributed to improved outcomes. A year-by-year analysis of recruitment and complication rates by centre would be helpful to identify potential learning curve effects. The study population also included a clinically heterogeneous mix of symptomatic (45%) and asymptomatic (55%) carotid stenosis patients. These cohorts differ significantly in stroke risk, treatment indications, and guideline recommendations. Stratified reporting or subgroup analysis would clarify whether sonolysis confers equal benefit across these groups—particularly important given the ongoing debate over intervention in asymptomatic carotid disease.

Generalisation of the findings may also be limited by the study’s setting. All participating centres were based in Central Europe, and while the intervention demonstrated efficacy within this context, broader applicability to more diverse health systems remains uncertain. For instance, despite the observed relative risk reduction, both the composite outcome and the 30-day rate of stroke or TIA were higher than those reported in the 2024 UK National Vascular Registry1. Moreover, the finding that female sex independently increased the risk of adverse outcomes (Odds Ratio 2.0) is an important observation that aligns with previous reports but remains underexplored in this study. Further research should investigate sex-based differences in procedural outcomes more thoroughly.

The early termination of the trial following interim analysis for efficacy, while justified, raises concerns about potential overestimation of treatment effect and reduced statistical power for evaluating secondary and safety outcomes. Furthermore, the cost implications of implementing sonolysis were not addressed. A formal health economic analysis, especially within resource-constrained systems such as the NHS, would be essential to evaluate the feasibility and sustainability for wider adoption of this procedure.

In conclusion, the SONOBIRDIE trial marks an important step toward integrating therapeutic ultrasound into vascular practice. The results are promising, particularly for improving perioperative outcomes in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis. However, several key questions remain regarding long-term effectiveness, centre-level variability, cost-effectiveness, and generalisability. We encourage the authors to address these issues in future analyses or correspondence to support informed clinical implementation.

References
1. VASGBI. National Vascular Registry Report 2024: Summary for Anaesthetists. VASGBI, https://vasgbi.com/research-audit/nvr-summary-2024/ (Accessed 24 March 2025).

Competing interests: No competing interests

27 March 2025
Tricia Hui Chyi Tay
Clinical Research Fellow
Balraj Maan, Tamer El-Sayed (Northern Vascular Centre, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle University)
Imperial College London, UK
Department of Surgery and Cancer, Level 10, Queen Elizabeth Queen Mary Wing, St. Mary's Hospital, London W2 1NY
Re: Stroke and myocardial infarction with contemporary hormonal contraception: real-world, nationwide, prospective cohort study Amalie Lykkemark Møller, Lina Steinrud Mørch, Christian Torp-Pedersen, Amani Meaidi, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2024-082801

Dear Editor,
The recent nationwide cohort study by Yonis et al. (BMJ 2024;384:e082801) provides valuable insights into the association between contemporary hormonal contraceptives and arterial thrombotic events. While the study’s large sample size and prospective design are commendable, several methodological and contextual limitations warrant discussion.
Despite adjusting for comorbidities, unmeasured confounders (e.g., smoking, BMI) were only partially addressed in subanalyses. Smoking data, limited to parous women, may not reflect the broader cohort. Reliance on prescription records (vs. actual use) may overestimate exposure, especially for long-acting methods (e.g., intrauterine devices), where early discontinuation is common. For less common contraceptives (patch, injection), the low number of thrombotic events (e.g., 0 myocardial infarctions with patch use) limits confidence in risk estimates. The homogeneous Danish population may not reflect risks in ethnically diverse cohorts, where genetic and lifestyle factors differ. The study designed censored individuals during pregnancy or surgery, potentially excluding high-risk periods for thrombosis, which could underestimate baseline risks.
Future studies should confirm findings using randomized designs or international cohorts to address confounding and generalizability and present absolute risks alongside relative risks to guide shared decision-making. Furthermore, they could investigate cumulative risks beyond four years of use, as the study found no duration-dependent effects—a finding inconsistent with UK Biobank data (Johansson et al., Stroke 2022).
In summary, while this study advances understanding of hormonal contraception safety, clinicians should interpret results cautiously, considering both its strengths and inherent observational limitations.
Reference
Johansson T, Fowler P, Ek WE, Skalkidou A, Karlsson T, Johansson Å. Oral Contraceptives, Hormone Replacement Therapy, and Stroke Risk. Stroke. 2022;53(10):3107-3115.
Yonis H, Løkkegaard E, Kragholm K, et al. Stroke and myocardial infarction with contemporary hormonal contraception: real-world, nationwide, prospective cohort study. BMJ. 2025;388:e082801.

Competing interests: No competing interests

27 March 2025
Sun Peng
Doctor
Xiaoyan Hu
Center for Rehabilitation Medicine, Rehabilitation & Sports Medicine Research Institute of Zhejiang Province, Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital (Affiliated People's Hospital), Hangzhou Medical College, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
158 Shangtang Road, Gongshu District
Re: Development of ROBUST-RCT: Risk Of Bias instrument for Use in SysTematic reviews-for Randomised Controlled Trials Romina Brignardello-Petersen, Reed A C Siemieniuk, Dena Zeraatkar, Elie A Akl, et al. 388:doi 10.1136/bmj-2024-081199

The ROBUST-RCT instrument is a valuable addition to the risk of bias (RoB) toolkit for randomized controlled trials (1). I would like to highlight a potential omission that may merit consideration in future iterations of this and other RoB assessment tools, however.

Some clinical trials evaluate interventions that influence the allocation of limited healthcare resources, such as diagnostic appointments, ICU beds, or staff time. In individually randomized trials, increased demand for these resources by patients in the intervention group can inadvertently reduce access for control group patients. This dynamic can introduce spillover effects that lead to biased overestimation of treatment benefit (2).

While ROBUST-RCT addresses risk of bias from imbalanced co-interventions due to unblinding of participants (core item 3), unblinding of healthcare providers (core item 4), or random chance (optional item 2), it does not address spillover arising from an intervention’s effect on availability of co-interventions within the trial setting. Such spillover can occur even in trials with adequate blinding and randomization, representing a distinct source of bias.

Although this form of spillover has been studied in economics as a source of bias in randomized controlled trials, it remains under-recognized in the clinical trials literature. Given the increasing emphasis on trials of care delivery practices, screening tests, and patient monitoring systems—especially in settings characterized by long wait times or staffing shortages—addressing this potential source of bias is increasingly important.

I hope future updates to ROBUST-RCT will consider whether such spillover effects merit inclusion either as an extension of optional item 2 or as a distinct non-core RoB domain. Additionally, other pillars of evidence-based medicine—including trial design guidance, reporting standards such as CONSORT, and other RoB tools—should consider addressing this potential threat to study validity.

References:
1. Wang Y, Keitz S, Briel M, et al. Development of ROBUST-RCT: Risk Of Bias instrument for Use in SysTematic reviews-for Randomised Controlled Trials. BMJ (2025). doi:10.1136/bmj-2024-081199
2. Mann, S. Negative spillover due to constraints on care delivery: a potential source of bias in pragmatic clinical trials. Trials 25, 833 (2024). doi:10.1186/s13063-024-08675-9

Competing interests: I conduct health services research examining the issue of spillover in clinical trials

26 March 2025
Sean Mann
Researcher
RAND
1200 S Hayes St, Arlington, VA 22202

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